Century Aluminum Stock Performance

CENX Stock  USD 52.64  0.14  0.27%   
Century Aluminum holds a performance score of 22 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.16, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Century Aluminum will likely underperform. Use Century Aluminum maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Century Aluminum.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Century Aluminum are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Century Aluminum showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.27
Five Day Return
16.67
Year To Date Return
28.58
Ten Year Return
629.09
All Time Return
286.35
Dividend Date
2002-09-30
Ex Dividend Date
2002-09-18
1
Century Aluminum shareholders have earned a 38 percent CAGR over the last five years
01/26/2026
2
Disposition of 4240 shares by Peter Trpkovski of Century Aluminum at 54.36 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/09/2026
3
A Look At Century Aluminum Valuation As Oklahoma Smelter Project Reshapes Growth Expectations
02/12/2026
4
Century Aluminum Shares Gap Down Heres What Happened
02/13/2026
5
Century Aluminum Q4 2025 Earnings Preview
02/18/2026
6
Century Aluminum Company Reports Fourth Quarter 2025 Results
02/19/2026
7
Century Aluminum outlines 630,000-ton shipment target for 2026 as Oklahoma smelter and Mt. Holly expansion advance
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow35.7 M
Price Earnings Ratio62.6667
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-98.8 M
Free Cash Flow84.8 M

Century Aluminum Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,848  in Century Aluminum on November 25, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,416  from holding Century Aluminum or generate 84.83% return on investment over 90 days. Century Aluminum is currently generating 1.1041% in daily expected returns and assumes 3.916% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 35% of stocks are less volatile than Century, and 78% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Century Aluminum is expected to generate 5.4 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.4 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.28 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Century Aluminum Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Century Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 52.64 90 days 52.64 
about 7.96
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Century Aluminum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.96 (This Century Aluminum probability density function shows the probability of Century Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.16 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Century Aluminum will likely underperform. Additionally Century Aluminum has an alpha of 0.8325, implying that it can generate a 0.83 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Century Aluminum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Century Aluminum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Century Aluminum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.0951.9855.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.6451.5355.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
50.0553.9457.82
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.4262.0068.82
Details

Century Aluminum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Century Aluminum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Century Aluminum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Century Aluminum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Century Aluminum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.83
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.16
σ
Overall volatility
8.81
Ir
Information ratio 0.23

Century Aluminum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Century Aluminum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Century Aluminum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Century Aluminum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Century Aluminum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Century Aluminum has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Uncovering Potential Constelliums Earnings Preview

Century Aluminum Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Century Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Century Aluminum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Century Aluminum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.3 M
Shares Float59.7 M

Century Aluminum Fundamentals Growth

Century Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Century Aluminum, and Century Aluminum fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Century Stock performance.

About Century Aluminum Performance

Evaluating Century Aluminum's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Century Aluminum has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Century Aluminum has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 83.49  48.42 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.05 

Things to note about Century Aluminum performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Century Aluminum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Century Aluminum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Century Aluminum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Century Aluminum is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Century Aluminum has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 68.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Uncovering Potential Constelliums Earnings Preview
Evaluating Century Aluminum's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Century Aluminum's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Century Aluminum's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Century Aluminum's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Century Aluminum's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Century Aluminum's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Century Aluminum's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Century Aluminum's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Century Aluminum's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Century Aluminum's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Century Aluminum's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Century Stock Analysis

When running Century Aluminum's price analysis, check to measure Century Aluminum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Century Aluminum is operating at the current time. Most of Century Aluminum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Century Aluminum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Century Aluminum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Century Aluminum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.